All major signings come with an element of risk. Will they settle in a new country? Adapt well to the pace of the game here? Or to their new clubs tactical framework? For some players, the risk is an even greater one. Their name is Christian.
Liverpool’s problem with the name ‘Christian’ began back in 2000 when they illegally approached Christian Ziege. They signed him by meeting the exact amount of a clause in his contract, which I assume was £5,500,001. Both club and player were fined. Then, he spent an injury riddled season struggling to displace Carragher as starting left back. Ziege was sold to Spurs less than 12 months after joining the club.
Then in 2010, Roy Hodgson made two mistakes in signing Poulson from Juventus. The first in not realizing the potential problem with his name. The second in not realizing he was unmistakably shite. He was packed off to the first club who had zero scouting reports on the player; Evian.
Rodgers probably hoped that 3rd time would be a charm. He went all in for Benteke in the summer of 2015. Rodgers ignored the advice of every person at the club specifically paid to look at players and decide how suitable they were for the team. Not to mention the “Stop Signing Players Called Christian” memo. Benteke arrived for £32.5m.
He too was quickly moved on after just one season at the club in the following summer.
The ‘Christian’ curse at Liverpool
Yet despite all the warning signs surrounding anybody called Christian, Liverpool are once again considering Christian Pulisic as a potential replacement to Fekir. Could this be 4th time lucky? Or should we just auto-delete those named Christian from our databases for all eternity?
As you will remember from my previous article when looking for a Faux-kir (for those who missed this, click here), Pulisic was someone we included on the shortlist at the end due to a number of statistical similarities between the two. Let’s look at some of those similarities and differences to see how suitable Pulisic would be to Liverpool as a Faux-kir.
Radar comparing Pulisic to an ‘average’ player.
Pulisic profiles as a dribble-monster. Although, his dribbling accuracy leaves a lot to be desired at face value (more on that later). Most interestingly though from the above, he profiles as more of a striker than Fekir. He is less involved in the defensive phase as well as build-up play in the possession phase than Fekir. But, he has a higher involvement in the box with his touches in the box (TiB) putting him in the top 5% of all midfielders across the top 5 leagues in Europe.
This would all suggest to me Pulisic was being deployed similarly to Salah was for us last season. Staying high up the pitch to stretch teams with his pace vertically and therefore having minimal involvement in the defensive phase & early possession phase as he rarely got behind or level with the ball. This change of role may somewhat explain the decline compared to 2016/17. Then, he profiled more similar to Mané as a player who came off the line in the early possession phase to link play by carrying the ball. Pulisic’s very low Final 3rd Entries numbers suggest that his dribbling is occurring in the final 3rd to offer penetration and to make space by committing defenders causing destabilisation of their block.
As you can see, he scores fairly well in both categories in terms of volume but not so much in terms of accuracy. However, I find this is quite common with young players with accuracy improving as they gain experience in the first-team. They make better decisions with the ball and play less erratic. In addition, and as already mentioned, Pulisic’s dribbling accuracy numbers in Europe in 2017/18 as well as in the Bundesliga in 2016/17 were both in the high 50’s which suggests that he is capable of a lot better here and we are simply looking at a very small sample of data.
Therefore in terms of his penetration numbers, I suspect there is enough there to make the club look favourably on him as an option.
As a side who will dominate the ball against a low-block at certain times next season, a degree of patience is possession and an ability to protect the ball will be required. Therefore Pulisic’s ability to protect the ball when he is in possession and keep the ball in circulation while we wait for the right moment to strike may be vital to his success in a system such as ours.
His passing accuracy in general play is around par for a player who is mostly on the ball in the final 3rd trying to create chances in and around the box. However, the number of touches he is taking per loss of possession is at the low end of the spectrum. This is linked to his lower than usual dribbling success rate. As we have previously discussed, this could be an anomaly to what we could typically expect of him.
He is considerably below Fekir both in terms of the number of chances created and assists per 90. However, the “xA by Situation” section of the Chance Created Map shows us that 99,9% of his numbers are from open play. Unlike some, he isn’t boosting his numbers as a set piece taker.
Almost all the chances created are resulting from getting the ball into the box. There is no ‘stat-padding’ of chances created for a long-range shooter to hammer away from 40 yards out. Therefore, a high ratio (around 1 in 4) of his chances created are what Opta deem “big chances” or what we would call clear-cut chances.
This suggests someone who is constantly looking to create good scoring chances. This is vital when looking for a player in a side who will dominate possession. Players who try to force an opening when there isn’t the space or numbers in attack to do so tends to result in a lot of squandered attacking opportunities.
As I mentioned in this tweet last week, his numbers have somewhat regressed. However, his numbers were and still are outrageous for a teenager and progression for young players is almost never linear.
There is a LOT I really like here. Firstly, I like how most of his shots are in the central band of the pitch. There are also a few dotted around the half-spaces and a solitary one on the flank. This is not typical of a winger and similar to the shot maps I saw of both Mané & Salah when they arrived at Liverpool. Also, very few shots are from outside the box (1 every 2,5 games). As a result, he already has a very high SoT ratio for his age. His conversion rate of just 25% is the thing he needs to work on.
However, the fact his numbers are already this good and his shot choices already look very refined while still a teen bodes pretty well for him. Most kids see an upturn in production in their early twenties. They have gained that vital experience and with it, composure in the box.
There are enough statistical similarities here in terms of his build-up play, creativity and, in particular, his penetration numbers to suggest he would be a target for Liverpool. He needs to be more precise with his actions in future and his finishing needs to improve too. However, those are pretty much standard for young attacking players like Pulisic. McManaman, for example, didn’t have his first highly productive season until he was 22 when he bagged a combined 17 goals and assists in the league (94/95). He was averaging 3 per season up to that point. Likewise, we signed John Barnes on the back of his breakout season aged 23.
I’m sure I am not alone in hoping this mazy dribbler could have a similar impact that either of those legends did at Liverpool!
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